2010年12月13日星期一

NFL Picks Against The Spread Week 13: Miami Over 4.5-Point Underdog Cleveland

Ezra Shaw/Getty ImagesSomething will have to give in this Sunday when the Cleveland Browns go on the road to take on the Miami Dolphins. The Browns are just 1-4 on the road this season, while the Dolphins are just 1-4 at home. Cleveland snapped a two-game losing streak with a 24-23 win over the Steelers 43 Polamalu jersey
Panthers last week. The Dolphins bounced back from an embarrassing loss at home against the Bears, with a 33-17 win at Oakland. While Cleveland is all but out of the playoff picture, the Dolphins still have hope but need to get on a roll to finish the season.If you are thinking about betting on the game this weekend, the current NFL point spreads have the Dolphins favored by 4.5-points over the Browns at home. Cleveland (4-7): The Browns weren’t all that impressive against the Panthers last week as they needed Carolina kicker John Kasey to miss a 42-yard field goal as time expired to pull out the win. Quarterback Jake Delhomme completed 24 of 35 for 245 yards against his former team, but also had two costly interceptions, including one that was returned 37 yards for a touchdown. The Browns jumped out to a 21-14 lead thanks to three touchdown runs by Peyton Hillis, who finished with 131 yards rushing and another 63 yards receiving. If it wasn’t for Hillis, the Browns offense wouldn’t have been able to do much of anything. Rookie quarterback Colt McCoy has still not been cleared to practice, and if he is unable to go, it will be Delhomme back under center. I strongly believe that the Browns are a much better team with McCoy under center, and could be in trouble if he isn’t able to find a way to play this week. Miami (6-5): For whatever reason, the Dolphins continue to play much better football away from home this season. Steelers 43 Polamalu jersey
The win over the Raiders gave the Dolphins their fifth win on the road. Miami last home win came in week 10 when they beat the Titans 29-17. After a dismal performance from backup Tyler Thigpen against the Bears in week 11, the Dolphins decided to go back to Chad Henne; he responded by going 17 of 30 for 306 yards with two touchdowns and just one interception. The Dolphins also got the running game working against the Raiders, as Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams combined for 180 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland has allowed at least 145 yards on the ground in each of their last three games, so expect another big performance from Brown and Williams this week. With star wideout Brandon Marshall sidelined with a hamstring injury, Davone Bess came away with a big time performance, grabbing six catches for 111 yards. Marshall is back practicing this week, but it is still uncertain if he will play this weekend. Looking at the Odds: Even though the Dolphins have struggled at home lately, I think they are the right play in this game. I believe the Dolphins run defense will be able to slow down Hillis, and without Hillis the Browns offense is nothing. Miami is 7-4 ATS this season, and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after 2010 pro bowl Vikings 4 Brett Favre jersey
accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. My final score prediction is Miami 27, Cleveland 17. Interested in making some money this NFL season? Check out what our expert NFL handicappers have to offer in their weekly NFL picks.

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